Fascinating voter registration numbers

Maybe this has been reported elsewhere, but if it has I missed it. Consider the following data pointed out to NC Policy Watch by a local elections expert. It actually comes from the Pope-Civitas website called “Carolina Transparency”  (thanks guys!): 

Since January 2009 through the first week of September 2012 North Carolina has netted roughly 115,000 new registered voters. The net 115k gain comes from:

  • a loss of 110,000 Democrats, 
  • a loss of 8,000 Republicans, 
  • a gain of 222,000 Unaffiliateds, 
  • a gain of 11,000 Libertarians

This would appear to be bad news for Democrats.  It likely reflects older Democrats (many of whom may not have voted Democratic in recent elections) dying and dropping off the rolls and those voters not being replaced by new Democrats. 

But …

The net 115k gain also come from:

  • a gain of 9,000 new white voters, 
  • a gain of 53,000 new black voters, 
  • a gain of 53,000 “other” new voters (“Other” is a catch-all category which includes Latino, Asian, and Native American voters).

That would appear to be bad news for Republicans. The net gain in new registrants comes almost entirely from minority voters making the electorate more racially diverse than it was in 2008.

One thing the Civitas website does not have is voter registration statistics by age which would be interesting since they would allow a person to measure whether President Obama’s campaign is making progress in registering young voters.

The bottom line: North Carolina’s electorate is increasingly more diverse and less partisan in 2012 than in 2008. It will be interesting to see what this will mean come November.

One Comment

  1. Krista Nelson

    September 13, 2012 at 9:01 am

    http://ristakaykrista.wordpress.com/

    An 11 Year Old Boy Died So We Could Vote

    North Carolina, number 1 in Voter Registrations is also where an 11-year-old boy, asleep in his bed, perished due to a fire set by the Klu Klux Klan in their attempt to snuff out his mother’s Voter Registration activities.

    James Henry Morgan died, but his sister, father, and mother escaped. The Morgan family home and business, the cornerstone of the black community, a barbershop and general store were consumed by the fire. This was the rural south of the 1930’s, a time when lynching and acts of violence against African Americans were frequent and tolerated by the authorities. James’ mother Ruth, who was also the midwife who brought my mother, her brother’s daughter into the world, had been warned to “stay in her place and stop getting so uppity”.

    My aunt Ruth was determined to vote for Franklin Delano Roosevelt. She paid the poll tax, but the clerk at the voter registration desk insisted that she recite the Preamble to the United States Constitution as a prerequisite. She knew this was an illegal tactic used to block her from registering to vote, but she agreed and when she met that challenge the clerk demanded that she write the Preamble down.

    “We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.”

    She wrote it down perfectly and went on to become the first African-American since Reconstruction to become a registered voter in Wake County, North Carolina. She became a popular civic leader and began a campaign to register community members in her small town, but she was labeled a trouble -maker and devastation followed. Ruth triumphed in spite of that terrible act and lived to be more than 100 years old. I share her story with you today during Voter Registration month to remind you that the difficulties we face today are no greater than those we faced yesterday. We will overcome in the name of Ruth Morgan and James Henry and all the trouble makers in your family histories.