Uncategorized

Could Obama still win NC? One local expert says “Yes!” (audio)

The latest numbers by Public Policy Polling show President Barack Obama has moved slightly ahead (49-48) of Mitt Romney in the rolling three day average of PPP’s national tracking.

PPP notes in the numbers released late Wednesday that the key for Obama is that he’s reduced Romney’s lead with independents in the wake of Monday’s final debate on foreign policy.

Dr. Steven Greene, an associate professor of political science at North Carolina State University, says it’s still quite plausible that Obama could repeat his 2008 performance here and capture the state’s 15 electoral votes.

Greene expects neither side to concede North Carolina (or any other swing state) in the remaining days of the campaign. But he says that while Romney has gained ground with North Carolina’s working-class white voters, the Obama coalition has not lost ground among minority voters or college-educated voters.

The President is also enjoying a modest fundraising advantage.

Greene joins us this weekend on News and Views to discuss the presidential race and how it could influence the other down ballot races.

For a preview of Dr. Greene’s radio interview with Chris Fitzsimon, click below:

7 Comments


  1. Frank Burns

    October 25, 2012 at 10:03 am

    Can a snowman survive in hell? Theoretically maybe. There is no chance Obama will win NC. In fact my prediction is Romney wins big nation wide. Obama had his chance but his results just weren’t there. Its now the businessman’s opportunity to fix things. All that foreign money and all the kings horses could not bring Humpty Dumpty back together again.

  2. V

    October 25, 2012 at 5:26 pm

    I’m registered non-party in Nevada and I have already early voted for President Obama. There’s no way I could vote for Mitt Romney. He isn’t about anything. It just looks like he’s standing around waiting for someone to give him the White House for just standing there in a suit. He lies, he’s all over the place, there are no plans, no tax returns, no nothing. And then that VP pick, Ryan, he is not ready to take over if he had to. He looks and sounds clueless. They sound like 2 school boys who have not turned in any homework…all that talk about budgets, etc. All they say is “Oh, I haven’t run the numbers yet. Oh, the math is too long.” Give me a break! And give me President Obama another 4 years!

  3. david esmay

    October 26, 2012 at 10:24 am

    Romney may take NC, but thankfully the rest of the country has more sense. The Rombot has about a 25% chance of winning. The ‘business man” has no plan, other than to further enrich himself and his fellow 1%ers. Fix things? The last GOPer “business man” blew up the country and President Obama and the Democractic Party have been fixing things ever since George the Dullard left office. Go back to bagger dream land Frank.

  4. david esmay

    October 26, 2012 at 10:47 am

    The most accurate prediction for the Presidential election comes from Nate Silver.
    President Obama
    Ohio 75%
    Wisconsin 86%
    Nevada 78%
    Iowa 68%
    New Hampshire 69%
    Colorado 57%
    Virginia 54%
    Overall 73%
    North Carolina — who cares? It doesn’t matter, let Myth Robmoney win NC.

  5. Frank Burns

    October 26, 2012 at 10:58 am

    Wishful thinking David. Not going to happen. Do you remember Jimmy Carter? Every few years we think electing a Democrat won’t be a bad thing, then we elect one and see for ourselves how bad it can be.

  6. david esmay

    October 26, 2012 at 12:45 pm

    Really Frank, Nate Silver is the most accurate forecaster, has nothing wishful thinking, that’s your forte. Statistics and probabilities are what counts. Every few years we elect a republican, they destroy the economy, explode debt and deficits and we have to start all over again. I’m glad 2012 is their last gasp and fail they will.

  7. david esmay

    October 26, 2012 at 12:46 pm

    nothing to do with wishful thinking, policy watch needs an edit click.

Check Also

Listen & Learn: A closer look at what is and isn’t working in education policy

If you missed it over the weekend, make ...

Top Stories from NCPW

  • News
  • Commentary

The following information is gathered from the Guttmacher Institute: 90% — North Carolina counties i [...]

Nothing is off the table when it comes to Republican judicial reform, and a former Wake County judge [...]

On a cozy autumn evening at the luxurious Umstead Hotel in Cary, a medley of corporate luminaries, s [...]

A fix for North Carolina’s class size crisis in March? A GOP senator from Wake County tells his cons [...]

On the 45th anniversary of Roe v. Wade, the U.S. Supreme Court decision that legalized abortion in t [...]

The post Classic projection appeared first on NC Policy Watch. [...]

It was a snowy and shortened work week for a lot of people in North Carolina, but unfortunately, tha [...]

Mounting student debt is a nagging problem for most families these days. As the cost of higher educa [...]

Upcoming Events

Featured | Special Projects

NC Budget 2017
The maze of the NC Budget is complex. Follow the stories to follow the money.
Read more


NC Redistricting 2017
New map, new districts, new lawmakers. Here’s what you need to know about gerrymandering in NC.
Read more