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Voting experts release new analysis of NC electorate

The following was released this morning by the nonpartisan experts at the good government group, Democracy North Carolina (Click here and go to page 2 for the data and pie charts that accompanied the release):

“North Carolina Voters: Less White, More Independent

Despite North Carolina’s continued population growth, the major political parties are losing thousands of members from their peak five years ago while the number of unaffiliated voters is climbing higher for all ages and races.  (See PAGE 2 of attachment for the data and pie charts.)

Overall, after accounting for deaths, moves and party switches, the number of registered voters has increased by 210,000 since November 2008 to a total of 6,475,000 in November 2013, but there are 102,800 fewer Democrats and 12,400 fewer Republicans. The net gain of 306,500 Unaffiliated voters accounts for all the growth in registrations over the past five years.

The rapid growth of Unaffiliated voters indicates people are not attracted to either major party, said Bob Hall of Democracy North Carolina, the election reform group that compiled the data from State Board of Elections records. ‘More North Carolinians, especially new residents and young voters, are refusing to embrace or perhaps even understand a party’s philosophy. That will make it harder for the parties to mobilize voters as their core supporters decline, particularly in a non-presidential year like 2014.’

Unaffiliated voters are now 26% of all registered voters, up from 22% five years ago and just 8% in 1993. Democrats made up 60% of North Carolina voters twenty years ago, but their share of the electorate has fallen to 43% while Republicans’ share has remained a fairly stable 31%.

In addition to party alignment, the racial make-up of North Carolina voters continues to change. The number of white voters has actually declined by 1,300 in the past five years. Whites now make up 71% of all registered voters, compared to 73% in 2008 and 81% twenty years ago.

Meanwhile, African-American registered voters increased by 99,200 and are now 23% of the state’s electorate, up from 22% in 2008 and 18% in 1993.

Self-identified Hispanic or Latino voters (who may be of any race) are still less than 2% of all voters, but their number has nearly doubled over the past five years to 116,500.

Women still outnumber men by about 500,000 voters and make of 54% of all registrations. ‘If women consolidated around a message or messenger, they’d dominate state politics,’ said Hall, ‘but they are split by party and a growing minority is disenchanted with partisan politics.’

The gender and racial changes are most apparent among Democrats. With deaths, moves, and new registrations, the number of white women affiliating with the Democratic Party has dropped by 113,400 over the past five years, and white male Democrats have declined by 96,800. Meanwhile, the number of black Democrats has increased by 31,100 women and 33,400 men.

African Americans now make up 45% of the Democrats’ membership, while whites are 95% of the Republican Party. (1.0% of Republicans and 1.9% of Democrats do not list their race.)”

14 Comments

  1. Gene Hoglan

    December 17, 2013 at 11:13 am

    Wow, only 95%? That’s lower than expected.

  2. ML

    December 17, 2013 at 11:33 am

    They may not be racist but 95% sure makes the repubs look racist…

  3. GOP Rules

    December 17, 2013 at 4:21 pm

    Why would it be racist? Nelson Mandela approves of voter ID…why not you?

    http://civitasreview.com/elections-campaigns/south-africa-requires-voter-id-why-shouldnt-we/

  4. Alan

    December 17, 2013 at 4:47 pm

    I don’t think Nelson Mandela approved of the other 17 or so restrictions on voting that the NCGA has passed. Yet another meaningless comment…

  5. Jack Wall

    December 17, 2013 at 5:21 pm

    Looks like Repuglicans are getting exactly what they wanted: an all-white party. They still don’t seem to be attracting the non-white vote! Not surprised!

  6. ML

    December 17, 2013 at 5:22 pm

    Even I am ok with free voter id’s (not the rest of the provisions) but this post has nothing to do with them or Mandela. Just more evidence of the not so subtle racism that still exists within the southern Republican Party.

  7. Alan

    December 17, 2013 at 6:46 pm

    ML,

    Its more evident at the Knightdale Konservative Klub meetings…

  8. GOP Rules

    December 18, 2013 at 10:38 am

    Remember….the KKK was started by some of your democrat forebears whose ancestors now continue their ways as modern democrats enslaving the same people by their government policies. Way to keep up the heritage…I assume Alan/ML attends those meetings at the Knightale Konservative Klub…as the grand master poobah.

  9. ML

    December 18, 2013 at 11:36 am

    Clearly history is lost on GOP Rules and the entire GOP. The democrats or Dixiecrats you speak of are the modern day equivalent of the repubs. When the democrats began championing civil rights, labor rights, and individual freedoms in the 1920s and 1930s they began to be more inclusive and this the rich racist southern Dixiecrats, Jesse helms, left to join Nixon in the Republican Party. So yes they called themselves dems almost 100 yrs ago but were and still are welcomed with open arms by the voter starved Repubs…95% white? That’s astonishing.

    So if that’s your last grasp then you guys really are struggling at pretending to not be racist.

  10. Alan

    December 18, 2013 at 2:41 pm

    Poor GOP Rules, I guess they didn’t teach history in the homeschool classroom, or Liburty YooniVursity.

    For a group of folks who constantly state “we aren’t racists”, you sure sound like a bunch of old southern cross-burning hicks. This is the point where GOP Rules (or substitute another intern), tells us Republicans freed the slaves, then omit the pesky little facts of the Southern Strategy, or Republican support for the South African de Klerk apartheid government (by no other than your Lord & Saviour, Ronald Reagan).

  11. wncgirl

    December 18, 2013 at 3:37 pm

    Well Ronald Reagan did consult the satanic oracles of astronomy on national matters, but our God fearing GOP CINOs have no problem idolizing him. Wonder how that would work if Barack Obama starting consulting shamans and soothsayers?

  12. GOP Rules

    December 18, 2013 at 4:12 pm

    Not homeschooled, just public education and a degree from a UNC system university.

    And I know history very well….but I do not live in denial of where the current parties heritage is. I guess the democrats now claim Lincoln and Grant. Oh how you can re-write history however you like in your own mind Alan/ML-It is funny how both of you just post one right after the other on each post……guess the pulse is paying overtime to their interns/history rewriters.

  13. Alan

    December 18, 2013 at 5:47 pm

    GOP Rules,

    Like I’ve said many times, I think your paranoia is getting the better of you. So, how long have you been working for Civitas now? Can/will you even answer the question?

  14. GOP Rules

    December 19, 2013 at 8:43 am

    Alan/ML,
    I certainly can. I comment here for free with no connection to Civitas, Art Pope, or any other group other than me..myself…and I. I wish I were paid for this, but unfortunately I do not. Are there any jobs over there at the NC Justice Center/Policy Watch/Pulse? I could probably be persuaded to join you guys for the right price, and I could certainly use the job.