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Understanding the ACA’s huge, late-game surge

In case you missed it, the business page of the Los Angeles Times ran a fascinating article yesterday entitled “Obamacare numbers coming in huge: Here’s a guide to GOP excuse-making.” As the article notes:

“Against all odds and expectations, enrollments in health plans qualified under the Affordable Care Act are surging Monday toward — and maybe beyond — the 7-million figure projected by the Congressional Budget Office before Oct. 1, when the open-enrollment period began. The deadline for starting enrollment applications for 2014 plans is midnight Monday.

The surge is creating a big problem for the “train wreck” narrative of Republican opponents of the ACA, who have been holding out hope for Obamacare’s utter failure. So the excuse-making has begun. 

Before we examine those excuses: You will recall that the budget office reduced its projection of enrollments on individual insurance exchanges to 6 million earlier this year to account for the botched launch of healthcare.gov, the federal enrollment website. Enrollments blew past that mark days ago. If exchange enrollments meet or exceed the original projection of 7 million despite the loss of some six weeks in website functionality in October and November, that would be a testament to the public’s latent desire for effective healthcare coverage.”

The article then goes on to demolish various excuses put forth by ACA opponents, including the silly notion that “the White House is cooking the books.” You can read the entire article by clicking here.

5 Comments


  1. Annie

    April 1, 2014 at 12:13 pm

    I enjoyed many great laughs yesterday, thanks to a different LA Times article, “Ted Cruz asks his Facebook friends about Obamacare, gets an earful.”

    In a nutshell:

    “Back on March 24, Cruz posted an informal survey on his verified senatorial Facebook page. It read: ‘Quick poll: Obamacare was signed into law four years ago yesterday. Are you better off now than you were then? Comment with YES or NO!’

    “It’s probably fair to say that he didn’t expect the tsunami of ‘YES’ votes that have shown up on the page among the 47,000 that Facebook says have been posted.”

    There’s a link in the article to Cruz’s Facebook poll, and the poll responses are VERY enjoyable reading! Check it out, if you haven’t already seen it:

    http://www.latimes.com/business/hiltzik/la-fi-mh-ted-cruz-20140331,0,6549069.story

  2. LayintheSmakDown

    April 1, 2014 at 10:34 pm

    Coming in “huge” now means 7 million sign ups…..and only 800 thousand actually following through and you know finishing the process by actually paying for the plan. I guess a 10% rate is something….more like a flop than huge since the system will not sustain that level.

  3. Jay

    April 2, 2014 at 9:20 am

    People signed up because they dont want to pay the fine. The same flawed logic would tell us that taxes are much more popular in April than in March.

  4. Alan

    April 2, 2014 at 9:34 am

    And the 800k number came from where?

  5. Lucinda

    April 2, 2014 at 2:44 pm

    The insurance companies are reporting that 80 to 95 percent of the folks who had signed up had made their first month’s payment. I think that is quite a bit more than 800,000.

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