Courts & the Law, News

Former judges, geographers, draw a simulated N.C. congressional map “free of politics”

The independent redistricting simulation

The independent redistricting simulation

At first glance, the congressional map looks so clean, free of curlicues and serpentine hydra. By contrast, the 2011 congressional version appears to be a abstract drip painting.

The difference between the two? The 2011 version was drawn and passed by the conservative legislature, and later declared unconstitutional by a federal court. The independent redistricting version, unveiled Monday, was a simulation undertaken by 10 retired state supreme court and appellate justices in conjunction with Common Cause North Carolina and the Duke University Sanford School of Public Policy.

The exercise was intended to demonstrate that maps can be drawn fairly and without partisanship.

“This map is free of politics,” said State Rep. Rosa Gill, a Wake County Democrat, at a press conference about the map on Monday. State Rep. Gary Pendleton, a Wake Republican, also attended in support of the map.

And in the end, six districts leaned Republican, four Democratic and three were a toss-up. Previous maps drawn by conservative legislators ran 10-3 in favor of Republicans.

To draw the districts, the justices, led by Henry Frye and Rhoda Billings, and Duke data-crunchers used only the rules established in House Bill 824, legislation that Senate conservatives blocked in 2011.

In other words, they used math, geometry and the Voting Rights Act as their guides. “No district was drawn to favor a party, a member of Congress or to dilute the voting strength of minorities,” said Tom Ross, a former UNC System president and now a distinguished fellow at the Sanford School. Nor did the mapmakers use voting history or registrations to draw the lines.

“We’re judges,” said Justice Billings, “and we followed the rules.”

IMG_3518

Top: The 2016 congressional maps, redrawn by the General Assembly after the 2011 version (below) was ruled unconstitutional.

Instead, they kept the district populations similar — within 0.1 percent of the legal requirement. They minimized dividing cities, which is why in this version, Durham encompasses one district rather than the four prescribed by the 2011 map. The districts are also contiguous, reasonably compact and not irregularly shaped, Ross said, apparently referring to the old District 12, which snaked from Guilford to Mecklenburg counties. Or District 1, a smudge that started in Durham and extended across parts of northeastern and southeastern North Carolina.

IMG_3510

Left to right: State Rep. Gary Pendleton, State Rep. Bobbie Richardson, former N.C. Supreme Court Justice Henry Frye, former state appellate justice John Martin, State Rep. Rosa Gill

Ross emphasized that both parties, when they are in power, gerrymander districts to favor their candidates. The simulation was not intended to replace the redrawn 2016 map; nor is it an antidote to pending legislation. (The constitutionality of the legislative, Wake County school board and Wake County Commission districts are now under review.)

“We wanted to see what we could do to come up with a plan that doesn’t have to be fought in the courts,” said Justice Frye.

“People are getting tired of having elections that don’t county because the map is unconstitutional,” Billings said.

 

 

2 Comments


  1. George Greene

    August 30, 2016 at 8:57 am

    This is ridiculous beyond all endurance. 10 of these 13 districts DO favor a party. Your claim that you didnto “draw them to” do that is absurd on its face. You drew them, and THEY DO that (favor a party). Even the ones drawn to be split are maximally objectionable — MUCH MORE so than the partisan ones, because they guarantee that no matter who gets elected 49% of the voters will be mis-represented losers.
    You can’t put the genie back in the bottle. You can’t pretend not to know information that you know. If Republicans win 2 of the 3 swing districts on this map then it will be 8-5 Republican. That is no better or worse than any other r partisan 8-5 map.

  2. happyjack27

    August 30, 2016 at 10:26 am

    This map is not free of politics. It packs urban voters and minorities, making it gerrymandered in favor of republicans.

    If you want a map free of politics you need to use a computer algorithm that takes into account voting patterns.

    Here is an example: http://autoredistrict.org/all50/version3/CD_PRES/single_state_embeddable_compare2.php?source=CD_SM&source2=CD_2010A&mode=map_district_partisan_packing_mean&unit=district&count=%2E&state=North%20Carolina

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