Falling Behind in NC, NC Budget and Tax Center

This is the first post of a Budget and Tax Center blog series on public services and programs that face cuts in the budget process or have been underfunded in past years. 

There would be 70 fewer school nurses in North Carolina’s public education program under the Senate budget, even though the statewide average nurse-to-student ratio has been far below national standards for at least a decade. In addition to this 30 percent cut to the School Nurse Funding Initiative, the Senate budget would shift the remaining 166 nurses to the state’s most economically lagging counties, known as Tier 1 counties.

Apparently, the Division of Public Health “asked” for this cut in response to the Governor’s directive to cut spending by 2 percent, per the comments made today by the Fiscal Research Division staff. Senate budget writers factored agencies’ responses to the Governor into their budget proposal.  Again, this is just another decision by leadership that makes clear the harmful choices that must be made when policymakers reduce the availability of revenue—which is what occurred when lawmakers passed last year’s tax plan that drains available revenue for public investments.

There is a mountain of research that shows that health and education go hand in hand. That’s why the state instituted comprehensive school health services in public schools, per the state Division of Public Health: Read More

NC Budget and Tax Center

The North Carolina Senate passed their budget just past mid-night, in the wee hours of Saturday morning. The Senate budget puts into clear perspective the high price ordinary North Carolinians will have to pay for last year’s tax cuts that primarily benefit the wealthy and profitable corporations. Despite progress in some areas, the proposal leaves too many vital public services operating at diminished levels—failing to catch up with the needs of kids, working families, and communities five years into the official economic recovery. Our overview of the Senate budget can be read here.

State spending under the Senate budget would be 6 percent, or $1.4 billion, below the last budget that was enacted before the Great Recession, adjusting for inflation. Yet, there are more students to educate, citizens to serve and protect, and older adults to help care for.

Due to tax changes enacted last year, budget writers are now dealing with the consequences of a self-imposed budget challenge. State lawmakers created a structural deficit in which revenues are falling short of what is needed to meet critical needs across budget areas. The state is facing a revenue shortfall of $191 million in the 2015 fiscal year (not to be confused with the nearly half-a-billion shortfall for the current 2014 fiscal year that ends in June).

The driver of these revenue shortfalls—despite an economic recovery—is the series of tax cuts that lawmakers approved and Governor McCrory signed into law last year that will drain available revenues to the tune of $437.8 million in the 2015 fiscal year. As we reported earlier this month, estimates suggest that the revenue losses from the tax plan, particularly stemming from the personal income tax changes, could reach $600 million in next fiscal year.

It is important to put these revenue losses into the context of foregone public investments that are the building blocks of a strong economy, as the table below does. Read More

NC Budget and Tax Center

On Wednesday evening, the North Carolina Senate unveiled its $21.16 billion budget proposal for the 2015 fiscal year that begins in June 2014 and ends in July 2015. The Senate leadership decided to put the budget on a fast track to approval, bypassing the appropriations subcommittee process and scheduling the final debate to begin today at 4pm into early Saturday morning.

Even when lawmakers have an adequate amount of time to review the full budget proposal—and to be clear, in this case, an adequate amount of time was not allowed—budget debates tend to spend a majority of the time on the spending side. Yet, how the state raises the billions of dollars that fuel the state budget gets relatively little scrutiny compared to the rest of the budget during the budget process.

Examining how the Senate pays for its budget is more important than ever in light of last year’s tax plan that drains $438 million from the state’s coffers in the upcoming fiscal year. This is on top of the fact that lawmakers are facing a current year revenue shortfall, a projected revenue shortfall for the next 2015 fiscal year, and a Medicaid shortfall. Read More

Uncategorized

Last evening, the Senate leadership released their $21.16 billion 2015 fiscal year budget for the period that runs from July 2014 to June 2015. Similar to the Governor’s budget proposal, the Senate proposal fails to take prudent steps that would put North Carolina’s budget on a more sustainable path. Likewise, it follows suit by leaving too many vital public services at diminished levels—failing to catch up with the needs of kids, working families, and communities five years into the official economic recovery.

At this point, budget proposals that put the train on the wrong tracks should come as no surprise. Due to tax changes enacted last year, budget writers are constrained in major ways. We’ll call this a self-imposed budget challenge.

State lawmakers created a structural deficit in which revenues are falling short of what is needed to meet critical needs across budget areas. The state is facing a revenue shortfall of $191 million in the 2015 fiscal year (not to be confused with the nearly half-a-billion shortfall for the current 2014 fiscal year that ends in June). The driver of these revenue shortfalls—despite an economic recovery—is the series of tax cuts that lawmakers approved and Governor McCrory signed into law last year that will drain available revenues to the tune of $437.8 million in the 2015 fiscal year. As we reported earlier this month, estimates suggest that the revenue losses from the tax plan, particularly stemming from the personal income tax changes, could reach $600 million in next fiscal year.

Yet, rather than prudently recommending the halting of future tax cuts that are scheduled to go into effect in January 2015, the Senate—following in the Governor’s footsteps—chose to keep this next round of tax cuts in place despite the diminished revenue picture. We’ve said it once and we will say it again: North Carolina cannot afford to pay for tax cuts for the top at the expense of teacher layoffs, growing waiting lists for critical public services, and fewer dollars to support economic recovery across the state.

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NC Budget and Tax Center

From poverty to job creation, North Carolina has been slow to bounce back from the Great Recession on the economic front. The storyline is much the same when it comes to tax collections. North Carolina’s tax revenues at the end of 2013 were lower than its previous peak that occured just prior to the economic downturn, according to new data released by the Pew Center on the States.

These findings fail to signal an economic comeback. In fact, they illustrate that there is a considerable amount of lost ground to regain even as state revenues are projected to slowly pick up as the economy grows stronger. Catching up will be all that much more difficult due to lawmakers’ decision to pass a costly and lopsided tax plan last year that primarily benefits the wealthy and profitable corporations.

State revenues were down 4.5 percent, or $287.4 million, in the last quarter of 2013 compared to the state’s previous peak quarter that occurred in the third quarter of 2007—just before the onset of the Great Recession. Note, this was under the old tax code. See the figure below. North Carolina fared better on this measure compared to all of its southern neighbors except for Tennessee and only 19 states in total. For the states that experienced a recovery to peak revenue levels by the end of 2013, more than half of them raised taxes to keep up with the growing demands of a growing population.   Read More