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Ed Kilgore at the Washington Monthly’s Political Animal blog has an interesting post today about the changing demographics of the electorate since 2008.

The article, in turn, quotes veteran Democratic author and activist Ruy Teixeira from a piece in The New Republic in which he paints an optimistic picture for Obama:

“Turning to the New South swing states of North Carolina and Florida, there have also been sizable demographic shifts over the last four years. In North Carolina, the minority share of eligible voters has gone up over 4 points, with simultaneous declines of around 2 points in both white college and white non-college eligibles. In Florida, the increase in minority share has also been about 4 points, while white working class eligibles have declined 3 points and white college eligibles by 1 point.”

Kilgore’s post concludes this way:

“Stereotypes die hard, and journalists are often surprised at the emergence or disappearance of this or that state from the electoral “battleground.” But the trends Teixeira examines may help explain why Obama could quite possibly win North Carolina while losing Iowa, which not much of anyone would have imagined immediately after 2008.”

 

 

 

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Planned Parenthood’s heartening victory this week in overcoming the boneheaded decision of the Susan G. Komen Foundation (which, as an aside, sure seems to have left extremists like Renee Ellmers hung out to dry) should provide an important lesson for progressives here in North Carolina. It is this:

Most Americans are not with the radical, conservative  extremists; that group’s current power and influence is hugely disproportionate to its actual support in the public. Read More

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Erskine Bowles is a fairly unusual would-be Democratic nominee for Governor. At a point in life at which the typical politician would be thinking about winding down his or her career, Bowles has yet to actually ever win an election. According to his own description, he was a “terrible politician” during his most recent attempt at high state office. To make matters even more challenging, his background is mostly as a wealthy corporate boardroom type — hardly the typical resumé for a standard-bearer of the Democrats — a party whose base still tilts liberal/progressive. His most recent actions as a public servant — to propose enormous and painful cuts to federal spending – outraged many thoughtful progressives.

So, why then are so many North Carolina Democrats waiting and hoping that Bowles will throw his hat into the ring for the now wide-open Democratic nomination?

Here, it would appear anyway, are some of the main reasons: Read More

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Yea! Fred Smith is apparently making a comeback! As you may or may not recall, Smith is a former state Senator who gave up his seat to run (unsuccessfully) in the Republican gubernatorial primary in 2008.  Now, he’s apparently planning to challenge incumbent state Senator Buck Newton next spring in the GOP primary. (Newton is a personal injury lawyer whose law firm website featured a rather strange promotional video). 

In one of the true highlights of the 2008 campaign, Read More