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New poll may explain why end of session is nigh

The latest poll results from Public Policy Polling may explain in part why legislative leaders and Gov. McCrory have decided to expedite the end of the 2013 legislative session: They’ve decided to cut their losses.

Here’s the new PPP release:

“North Carolinians are very angry about the abortion bill that’s been working its way through the General Assembly…and now their anger toward state government is really being directed toward Governor Pat McCrory.

For the first time since taking office we find that McCrory has a negative approval rating this month. Only 40% of voters are happy with the job he’s doing to 49% who disapprove. That’s down a net 15 points from June when he was at a 45/39 spread. Read more

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Pollster: Obama needs a strong performance in 2nd debate to reverse latest trend (video)

Tuesday’s presidential town hall debate at Hofstra University brings with it some added pressure for President Obama. After a lackluster performance in the first debate October 3rd, Obama finds himself now trailing in some key battleground states.

The latest numbers from Public Policy Polling show Mitt Romney with a two-point lead (49-47) over Obama in North Carolina, helped largely by white voters and independents.

Public Policy Polling Director Tom Jensen notes that Obama still has his customary lead with women at 50-46. But the latest poll shows that’s getting drowned out by the 53-43 one Romney has with men.

Jensen joined us over the weekend on News & Views to discuss the presidential race as well as the gubernatorial contest and NC Council of State races.

To hear an excerpt of his interview with Chris Fitzsimon, click below. To hear the full segment, visit the Radio Interview section of the NC Policy Watch website:

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Final confirmation, once and for all, that Civitas polls are a joke

On one level, you gotta’ hand it to the Pope-Civitas people; they’ve gotten a huge amount of mileage out of their political “horse race” polls through the years (name recognition, the air of legitimacy, the chance to drive readers to their almost always absurd propaganda).

But seriously, if ever there was an example of why this stuff is regularly unreliable garbage that the mainstream news media need to, once and for all, STOP reporting on, this is it: Today, the Pope Civitas people reported that their latest “poll” shows that 30% of African American North Carolinians support Mitt Romney for president.     

Obviously, this is absurd. A third grader would understand this. As one commenter on the Civitas blog noted: Read more

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Pollster: McCrory leads, but Dalton likely to close the gap (video)

Recent polls by N.C. Citizens for Progress and Public Policy Polling show Republican Pat McCrory with a consistent six to seven point lead over Democrat Walter Dalton in the race to become North Carolina’s next governor. But PPP’s poll director Tom Jensen says the undecided voters will be the ones to watch heading into this fall.

Jensen says data shows that group of voters leaning more toward Barack Obama than Mitt Romney in the presidential race, and that could help make the gubernatorial contest much more competitive than it appear in the July poll numbers.

He also believes the state budget, which earned the support of just 24% of those PPP surveyed, could influence who voters back as they learn more about what was and wasn’t funded.

Jensen joins us this weekend on News & Views to handicap the political races up and down the ballot and weigh-in on whether the millions spent on campaign ads really works.

For a preview of Tom Jensen’s radio interview with Chris Fitzsimon, click below:

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Fayetteville polling results are in

As an accompaniment to last evening’s Crucial Conversation in Fayetteville,  NC Policy Watch released another edition of its Carolina Issues poll. As in Charlotte a couple of weeks back, we asked Faytteville voters what they thought about an array of issues, including: The General Assembly’s decision to cut taxes and core services during the 2011 session, Speaker Thom Tillis’ recent “divide and conquer” statement, Occupy Wall Street  and much more.

As in Charlotte, voters voiced a great deal of skepticsm about many of the choices that conservative leaders have made. For instance, Read more